Toledo
W-L: ( 8- 5) PR = 79.9647Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 A Kentucky SEC ( 5- 7, 78.7) 16-24 906 H We Kentucky CUSA ( 9- 4, 75.2) 45-21 913 H Morgan St 60- 0 920 A We Michigan MIDA (10- 4, 76.3) 13-14 927 H Akron MIDA ( 5- 7, 62.9) 41- 3 1011 A Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 23-28 1018 H Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 45-10 1025 A Wash St P12 ( 7- 6, 82.0) 7-28 1105 H No Illinois MIDA ( 3- 9, 64.5) 42- 3 1112 A MiamiOH MIDA ( 7- 6, 74.1) 24- 3 1122 H Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 38- 9 1129 A Cen Michigan MIDA ( 7- 6, 72.6) 21- 3 1223 N Louisville ACC ( 8- 6, 81.6) 22-27
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 A Kentucky 16-24 -8 -4 - -3.99
906 H We Kentucky 45-21 24 10 + 3.93
920 A We Michigan 13-14 -1 -2 0.60
927 H Akron 41- 3 38 22 0.00
1011 A Bowl. Green 23-28 -5 11 --- -15.74
1018 H Kent State 45-10 35 21 0.00
1025 A Wash St 7-28 -21 -7 --- -6.69
1105 H No Illinois 42- 3 39 21 0.00
1112 A MiamiOH 24- 3 21 1 +++ 13.39
1122 H Ball St 38- 9 29 20 0.00
1129 A Cen Michigan 21- 3 18 2 +++ 11.90
1223 N Louisville 22-27 -5 -2 - -3.40
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1011 A Bowl. Green 23-28 -5 11 --- -15.74 1025 A Wash St 7-28 -21 -7 --- -6.69 830 A Kentucky 16-24 -8 -4 - -3.99 1223 N Louisville 22-27 -5 -2 - -3.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1112 A MiamiOH 24- 3 21 1 +++ 13.39 1129 A Cen Michigan 21- 3 18 2 +++ 11.90 906 H We Kentucky 45-21 24 10 + 3.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kentucky ( 5- 7, 78.7) 16-24 -21.19 30.03 5.26 1.06 -8.46
3 H We Kentucky ( 9- 4, 75.2) 45-21 -24.75 26.47 -5.26 1.06 45.07
3 A We Michigan (10- 4, 76.3) 13-14 -23.59 27.63 5.26 1.06 -9.74
3 H Akron ( 5- 7, 62.9) 41- 3 -36.97 14.25 -5.26 1.06 19.10
3 A Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 23-28 -35.94 15.28 5.26 1.06 -16.30
3 H Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 45-10 -35.66 15.56 -5.26 1.06 21.89
3 A Wash St ( 7- 6, 82.0) 7-28 -17.88 33.34 5.26 1.06 -6.71
3 H No Illinois ( 3- 9, 64.5) 42- 3 -35.36 15.86 -5.26 1.06 22.53
3 A MiamiOH ( 7- 6, 74.1) 24- 3 -25.80 25.42 5.26 1.06 65.18
3 H Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 38- 9 -34.82 16.40 -5.26 1.06 23.68
3 A Cen Michigan ( 7- 6, 72.6) 21- 3 -27.29 23.93 5.26 1.06 62.03
3 N Louisville ( 8- 6, 81.6) 22-27 -18.34 32.88 -0.00 1.06 -9.74
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208.53
|
winning pts = 259.4804 losing points = -50.9467
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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